Pandemic

The coronovirus has revealed how fragile our seemingly invincible human world order is. Amazon no longer arrives tomorrow; it takes a month. The wealth of entertainment options has shrunk to those available at home. Travel plans have been cancelled or altered. Many are without the comfort and security provided by regular employment. Churches are shuttered, and factories stilled. For all intents and purposes, we are united against our invisible virus enemy by the hashtag #StayHome.

Of course, to some, the coronavirus is no big deal. The common cold kills X number of people per year, and we don’t shut everything down! Think of the damage to the economy! Of course, this is being rather selective; the coronavirus, unlike the common cold, is not a known quantity. It’s the unknown, upper limit of the new disease that is terrifying, rather than whatever statistics we end up with. We’ve gathered enough information to know that we are right to fear what could happen. Christians in particular, I hope, would resist arguments that accept death as a necessary cost to keep money flowing.

On the opposite end of the spectrum, many people behave as though we are suddenly to demonstrate absolute and uncritical conformity to government ideas about “safety.” People post hashtags, strictures and advertisements that wouldn’t look out of place in a fictional dystopia. Politicians make martial analogies that lend themselves easily to thinking of fellow citizens as “collaborators” with the enemy. Self appointed enforcers lecture others for transgressing against the coronavirus by daring to exercise even the limited freedoms we have during the pandemic. My city, Toronto, has setting up a website for citizens to become government informants. That way they can catch the enemy collaborators in their sinister use of public parks. A few ridiculous stories have surfaced of people clearly posing no danger receiving tickets from overzealous bylaw officers, such as the $880 fine for a family rollerblading in an empty parking lot. Many people spend time online shaming anyone or anything that they think poses a risk, including those who disagree critically with the government’s approach. The coronavirus seems to have brought out the worst in many people in this regard.

Of course, the real road, I think, lies somewhere in the middle. I’m bemused by those who think that, for the first time in the history of the world, left and right, democracy and dictatorship have immediately rallied behind a “hoax” or exaggeration. I’m also shocked at how many people embrace #StayHome without exercising critical thinking, or the number of health advertisements that remind me of communist state propaganda.

Yes, stay home, stay safe, help others. While doing those things, put your thinking cap on.

So much has happened in this time that bears thinking about. In the West, for instance, we have a tradition of religious freedom. What does it mean that the government has shut down our churches? Certainly, it was the right call (I don’t think anyone in their right mind can convincingly argue otherwise) but should the government be the one to make that call? Freedom of assembly has been another traditional freedom in the West. What does it mean that government now exercises the authority to forbid us to gather, even with immediate family?

When sickness and disease come again in the future (as they surely will) how bad does it have to get before the government can restrict our freedoms? In other words, what’s the minimum threshold for the government to gain the powers it exercises now? How long can a government keep restrictions like these in place? As our economy opens up, can the government really open business while keeping churches closed?

What do individual politicians mean by advocating for a “new normal”? If there’s one truism of our world, it is that disasters provide ample fodder for those looking to make radical changes, for good or for ill. Who is looking to take advantage, and how?

These are legitimate questions that should not be shouted down, even as we should all do our part to stop the pandemic. Having a common goal does not mean we suspend critical thinking about the means. What benefit would we get from saving everyone from the virus, only to lose our souls in the process?

Of course, for Christians, the one silver lining amidst all these trials is that the fragility of our world order serves as a poignant object lesson. It reminds those of us who follow Christ where our true hope lies. It is not in the metaphorical kings and princes of this world, nor even their vaccines (though we certainly hope for and help work toward one of those), but in Jesus Christ. In that sense, our world has been in a state of emergency since the Fall. The scale and scope of the government response to controlling the coronavirus should inspire us to remember that the pandemic of sin calls for no less drastic measures. Our world needs intelligent people fully committed to fighting both battles in the right way. Let’s pray God gives us the grace to do so.

6 thoughts on “Pandemic

  1. “Christians in particular, I hope, would resist arguments that accept death as a necessary cost to keep money flowing.”

    This is really a major oversimplification.

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    • Agreed! I didn’t want to go in too many different directions, and in that paragraph I am generally talking about one extreme end of the position spectrum so I felt it was a fair comment, but it’s certainly a complex issue that could be explored further. I used the nuanced word “resist” rather than the simpler reject to hopefully leave some wiggle room, but you’re right.

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      • But accepting deaths is a necessary cost to keep money flowing. I haven’t researched it but presumably, deaths from auto accidents have declined since the start of the lockdown. Yet no one is arguing against ending the lockdown on the ground that thousands more people will die in car accidents. This is because car accidents are something we take for granted; we’ve long since decided that they are a “necessary [or at least acceptable] cost” not only of doing business but of the convenience that cars afford. Have we been wrong all along?

        And it’s a fact that tens of thousands of people die of flu each year, which we accept as a part of life without feeling the need to shut down schools and nursing homes from November through February. Are we being callous or just realistic?

        I hope I’m not coming on too strong. Overall I agree with you and you’re right that there needs to be open discussion without one side being shut down. My concern is that framing the argument as a willingness to trade “lives for dollars” is one of the very tactics used to shut people down.

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      • I suppose if we want to push it that far, everything in life comes with an element of risk (even doing nothing.) I don’t wish to frame anyone’s argument for them, but I think that the comment you’ve made hinges on which of your two phrases you are advocating – necessary or acceptable costs. (I’d probably call it necessary or foreseeable costs.)

        I think you’ll find that safety regulations, certifications and safety features are a big “cost” to the automobile industry. (And certainly to reckless motorists who fall afoul of traffic regulations.) The cost in human lives is forseeable, but governments and automotive makers put in what they consider a reasonable effort to minimise those risks. There are no lockdowns, but that doesn’t mean car accidents are just brushed off as a necessary cost of convenience. Every effort is made to ensure that those accidents don’t have to take place – they generally take place not because of the rules of the road or the way in which cars are constructed or sold, but because of the choices drivers make. When accidents do happen, the state spends quite a bit of resources ensuring that follow up happens (review zoning, speed limits, prosecute drivers, impound vehicles if necessary…) Accidents are forseeable, but not necessary or even acceptable – an important difference.

        Fighting COVID-19 will also come with a cost. It has the potential to be much, much more deadly than flu or car accidents. (A quick Google search suggests that twice as many people have died of COVID 19 this half year in the USA (80,000) as died of car accidents last year in the USA (38,000) or the flu in the last flu season (34,000). This despite their precautions, and we haven’t had a full year of COVID yet.) So one of the reasons I made that statement is that I’ve heard those comparisons before (Ah, we don’t deal with the flu this way!) along with personal comments from other people (I’m not in the risk category, why do I care if I catch it and spread it around?) I think those comments are rather callous given the gravity of the situation.

        I appreciate your perspective and wouldn’t want to shut down anyone else’s POV, but I still stand by that comment as representative of one of the two extremes I was trying to lay out – an extreme that trivialises COVID-19 due to worry about economic impact.

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  2. The two extremes would be, (A) No increase in deaths is an acceptable price for ending the lockdown, and (B) Any number of deaths is acceptable.

    My quarrel with your statement was that in condemning extreme B, you seemed to be implying extreme A. (I’m also allowing for the possibility that you’re not, but this is how it appears to me on the surface.)

    My problem with A is that it ignores the price of continuing the lockdowns.

    For someone who is making argument A, the fact that COVID is potentially more deadly, quantitatively, than car accidents or flu, is irrelevent, since no deaths whatsoever are an acceptable price for ending the lockdown. But putting a number on it: What if ending the lockdown is projected to cost 38,000 additional lives compared with not ending it? If that leads to the conclusion that the lockdown must continue, then on what grounds can one argue against lockdowns to prevent that number of auto fatalities?

    “More than 150,000 Americans died from alcohol and drug-induced fatalities and suicide in 2017. Nearly a third — 47,173 — were suicides.” (https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/07/us/deaths-drugs-suicide-record.html) There were also about 80,000 flu deaths that year according to the CDC (2017-18 flu season) (I won’t include a link since I’m not sure how many are allowed). Would that number of additional deaths be an acceptable price of ending the current lockdown? If not, then why didn’t we lock down to prevent those deaths in 2017? Were we just cold and heartless back then?

    My feeling is that back then, and pretty much every year until this year, we accepted these numbers as an inevitable part of life. We did what we could to reduce them but they weren’t the end of the world. Now they’re suddenly unacceptable? I’m suspicious of that. It feels an awful lot like, “We’ve already gone all-in; if we stop now we’re admitting we were wrong before. Besides, it’s a stick to beat Trump with.”

    I’m also willing to bet the federal government spent nowhere near $2 trillion fighting drugs, suicides, car accidents and flu combined in 2017, but that’s what it’s spending to mitigate the economic damage caused by the lockdown — and that’s only the initial stimulus package.

    Conceding that what we’ve done so far was reasonable and good, nevertheless if it goes on much longer I fear that even greater harm begins to seem likely. Killing people in exchange for money sounds bad, but treating and helping sick people does cost money. The government can’t help if it’s broke and a country in depression is in a weak position to deal with future waves of illness. And that only speaks to our future ability to fight COVID. What about the other costs of economic catastrophe? The poor, as always, will suffer most.

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    • I’m not intending to imply extreme A. If you look back at my post, I structured my piece with a critique of, for lack of better terms, “COVID-deniers”, followed it up with a critique of “COVID-flunkies”, and the suggested that I thought they were both wrong. I focused heavily on the religious aspect of this because I made a decision long ago not to write directly about politics/economics/hobbies/etc here (hence the name of my blog.) In that line, I think it’s fair to say that a Christian should place a higher premium on the value of lives than non-Christians. However, the sort of critical thinking you’re doing to produce these comments is exactly what I’m arguing we need. I don’t have the answers as to what exactly we should/would/could do; I doubt anyone will have “the answer” until we have the benefit of hindsight.

      While we’re discussing it though, the lockdown also has negative effects. I remember reading about calls to mental health hotlines skyrocketing, and I don’t doubt that suicide, stress, domestic abuse, poverty etc are all being either increased or aggravated by what’s going on. I also agree that the negative ramifications of lockdown are going to increase exponentially the longer this goes on. I know it’s not as simple as lockdown = 0 deaths and no lockdown = 1 million deaths. The sort of discussion we are having in the comments is what I wish we saw more of in the news and public sphere.

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